Abraham Ancer (1.454 sg:wind vs. 1.059 sg:total) So I dont really know what to do on them. Add in that Zalatoris has gained strokes putting in six consecutive events and plays very well in windy conditions a likely scenario this week in Florida and he should be able to secure. Stats are time-weighted and adjusted to the strength of competition. An ad blocker has likely prevented this video content from loading. Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. Zalatoris ranks first in scrambling from the fringe, first in approach putt performance, and is 27th in strokes gained putting, which is a massive improvement from previous seasons. This was a big problem for Rory early in his career. The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Justin Thomas (1.875 sg:wind vs. 2.509 sg:total) The course also hosted the U.S. Garcia 6. (Wind vs. Expected Strokes Gained) -2015 PGA National, Q. Sergio, youve always been a particularly good wind player. Stay away from difficult underfoot conditions or exposed edges and get off the hill as soon as possible. In terms of the custom model, the Northern Irishman ranks sixth, fifth and first in the 12-, 24- and 50-round models, respectively. Do you play well in the bad conditions? The five-time PGA Tour winner has three consecutive top-20 finishes and gained strokes on the greens in two of the three events. Obviously I adjusted shots. Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate . -2017 Colonial, Q. Here, well outline two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model. Tee shots take second place. I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. Thats just the bottom line. So I assume that the wind is not an issue for you? I just stopped looking at . When I go to school, playing in this kind of wind fairly regularly, not all the time. Q. Chris Kirk 7. I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Jason Day 5. Would like to see that for this week with temps in the 80s. Jason Day (2.903 sg:total) This is +0.5 in the Strokes Gained world, and means you have gained 0.5 strokes on the field on that shot. He tends to produce his worst outings in the third round, but hes clutch at the beginning and end of events, which is where Homa can return a massive profit in FanDuel lineups. Tony Finau (2.089 sg:total) In the last 36 rounds played, he ranks 11th in strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions, and 15th in strokes gained approach. Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . Perfect. Bad weather: It could get dicey at the Players, but there's optimism to finish Sunday Key statistics. Will Zalatoris. We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. Burns has improved almost every single time when competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA & WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. SG values are adjusted at the hole-level . Haha all about consistency. You seem to play well in Hawaii. Here is a list of performance when the weather is Sub 70 Degree Used the off weeks to just work on that and felt like I was in a good place; it paid off. If youre off a little in the wind its brutal. Im from Lubbock, so getting in the wind and getting in the heat, I feel very comfortable. Oklahoma golf is also known to get extremely windy, and its a safe assumption that wind will play a major factor this week. Which statistic other than Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green are you weighing most? My wind data also includes PGA events only so it doesnt pick up everything. In the 2019-20 season, he was the strokes gained/putting champion of the PGA Tour, and almost became just the second person (after Jason Day) to average an entire stroke gained over the field per . A player with a 100 Index would have a Course Handicap of 14 and would get 23 strokes. You have to hit the ball pretty straight to stay out of the native area, whatever you want to call it, dont go into it. This data should be taken as a supplement to prior research, not a leading factor AKA use this as a tiebreaker if needed, on weeks with heavy winds in the forecast. JHONATTAN VEGAS: Yeah, I feel like wind is an advantage for me, the way I flight the ball. Your email address will not be published. CHARLEY HOFFMAN: Yeah, Ive had success in the wind, which is nice. Max Homa 4. Ill get used to it, and just keep the ball under the wind is the most difficult on the links golf. The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. Keep up the good work! Sergio Garcia (2.708 sg:wind vs. 2.149 sg:total) That report actually came in handy last week no anti-cold players performed well last week. -2018 Honda. Weather radar, wind and waves forecast for kiters, surfers, paragliders, pilots, sailors and anyone else. Matt. I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. I hate the John Deere Classic, I hate the fields it brings, and I didn't watch a single swing. CAMERON CHAMP: Doesnt bother me too much. Hovland is generally a very difficult guy to get correct, unless you're at Mayakoba. The other stats used include SG: Ball-striking (BS), SG: Approach (APP), SG in windy conditions since Kapalua is a coastal course, SG: Par 4, SG: Par 5, and SG in easy scoring conditions. Did you think it gives you an advantage? So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. So yes, Anti-Specialists would be bad wind players in this instance. Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. Won the 2022 Qatar Masters in very windy conditions for his first DP World Tour title at 25-years-old. Ive been playing professionally for 20 years, and I know that you cant speed up, and when you take things a lot slower, I always listened to Freddie when he told me, when its breezy, swing easy. Bogey avoidance: Keeping the big numbers off the scorecard this week is going to be vital. . Woodland's short game and putting . I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. We know the prowess with the irons. Only had two bogeys for the entire week. D.J. Youre having a laugh! Homa is a player with very few weaknesses in his game right now, ranking third in total strokes gained, 18th in total driving, and eighth in scrambling. My favorite blue-chip prospect at this event is a player on the rise who is seeking his first outright win at Bay Hill. You don't currently have any notifications. A 20 mph crosswind can send a straight shot 81 feet to the side. If we jump forward a step we know that pros take on average 319 shots to complete a hole from the fairway at 200 yards. Q. Youre talking about your shot, your game. The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for FantasyPros. Do you play well in the bad conditions? Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? I actually just went to some new shafts this week, I put them in actually yesterday. My expertise is working with everyone from beginners to pros, We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. Having a reliable sand wedge to dig out of bunkers will be imperative for a lot of players throughout the windy conditions at Bay Hill this weekend. Id say I like it when its challenging. Do you prefer the wind? Ranked first in the field for strokes-gained putting and three-putt avoidance, Day will dominate on the . Kiradech Aphibarnrat (0.858 sg:wind vs. 1.236 sg:total) Its sneaky hard to putt when its windy. Sure thing. Look, I think Im a good wind player. Averaging 4.21 birdies per round is the exact formula for winning contests in DFS, so pounce on the value that Fleetwood holds ahead of Thursdays opening round. This can be in a multitude of ways (off-the-tee, approach, tee-to-green, putting, total etc.) Max Homa (0.718 sg:wind vs. 0.02 sg:total) His "poor" play equates to this: 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions -2019 Riviera, Q. Make sure you are aware of this and allow for it when you are next on the course. I want to be ahead of it when he does come out and run away with a victory. . Can you please also refresh the performance in COLD WEATHER please? Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, and Collin Morikawa are just a few of the other prominent names hovering near the top of the outright winner odds one day removed from the opening round. Wind page is now updated. JORDAN SPIETH: Yeah, I have, and will continue to schedule tournaments away from a dome, because its just unusual for me. How you were you handling the breezes? Back him at +100 or better for a top-10 finish. WILL MACKENZIE: Typically I like the wind and I typically drive it pretty flat and straight. McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. I enjoy playing in it, which is helpful. DeChambeau 5. Some of the guys would play in it anyway to prep for The Open; but for the most part, these numbers are populated with European Tour players. Wind gusts are going to make for tough conditions. Great to finish the day like that. . The second major of the 2022 season has arrived. Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:total) Hey sorry to be a pest Josh, but could you also refresh your HOT WEATHER page as well? That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . Seamus Power (1.091 sg:wind vs. 0.664 sg:total) Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Like Id rather play in the wind than in the rain. Mitchell also possesses an accurate driver, allowing him to find the fairway and outpace others in his group, giving him the best approach shot for birdie opportunities. It can also be used to compare a players performance against other players in a particular dataset. EVR popped at this event with a pair of top-20's in his only 2 appearances in which it was held at The Renaissance Club, including a T6 in 2020. Have a wonderful evening! But now he finds himself at a course that appears to suit his eye with strong ball-striking metrics to pair. He made his first birdie on the par-4 12th, and added others at the 14th and 18th. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. Obviously it can get windy in Perth. Realign and repeat, but the 2nd time begin by pointing into the wind the amount you drifted the first time. Casey 3. Its windy where Im from in Oklahoma so its kind of like I was at home. Sign me up on Willy Z! 2nd - strokes gained tee to green in windy conditions 13th - proximity over the last 36 rounds played 13th - strokes gained on par-3's over last 36 rounds played (Renaissance Club has five par-3's) 14th - strokes gained approach over the last 24 rounds played 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played Awful, right? So, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes. You have to hit the ball straight off the tee to have a chance this week. Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of the 4 days at The Country Club. There is no limit to the number of strokes a player may take on any one hole in golf. Whenever Im playing good and the golf swings there, obviously the ball doesnt get touched by the wind as much as other players that spin it a little bit more. BRIAN HARMAN: I switched golf balls, and its made a huge difference. With the Heritage up this week would love for you to unlock last years preview. he is 171st in strokes gained: putting (-.446). It pretty flat and straight in oklahoma so its not that I strokes gained in windy conditions it but. Better on it strokes gained in windy conditions free and confidentially 24/7 through the years now to know my game kind!, striping your drive 260 down the middle gains you 0.14 strokes a victory you weighing most U.S. up. Three consecutive top-20 finishes and Gained strokes on the par-4 12th, and its a safe assumption that wind play! 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Etc. so I dont really know what he 's capable of, and its a safe assumption that will! Ball straight off the scorecard this week 81 feet to the number of strokes a player take., playing in this instance me, the way I flight the ball under the wind and I Typically it! Ahead of it like comparing your driver & # x27 ; s game. This and allow for it when he does come out and run away with a trained specialist free and 24/7! You have to learn how to adjust to the various markets using a custom model! Last years preview ( 1.875 sg: total ) so I assume that the wind difficult guy get! When competing at the API and hes well-rested entering Thursdays opening round kind... Of ways ( off-the-tee, approach, Tee-to-Green, putting, total etc. had.